Monday, October 20, 2008

Watches Tues Oct. 21

These are some of the Muddy watches. The fractions represent the percentage of time the stock went red on $DJI red (i.e. the probability of success on a market down day)- the second number is the percentage of time the stock goes red on $DJI green. As I have discussed, the probability decreases, sometimes dramatically. The best shorts in a Dow up day are: NOW MPEL XJT followed by TMA XING QELP MDTL

NKTR  76/28

TOMO  81/43

NGAS  76/36

NOW  81/71

CYTK  71/29

TMA  62/50

EXTR  81/57

MPEL  71/71

ROCM    57/43

XING  81/50

QELP 76/50

XJT  66/65

BQI  71/43

GROW  71/29

MDTL  76/50

3 comments:

bcecil said...

I REally like this approach!! Well done... What is your setup to get it?
thx bcecil@mybigpix.com

RamtaJogi said...

Cool. When I get some more time, I will add a feature where you can paste multiple tickers and it will calculate odds of success for your short on green or red market day.

bcecil said...

OUTSTANDING!!! Will this new program be posted here or on your blog, when you get more time? Also can the sort be by highest red - red match percentages or if not too much trouble let us sort columns?